Trump’s Numbers Problem

All of the media hype surrounding the “Trump Revolution” just doesn’t add up.  It’s true, Trump is the only remaining active Republican candidate, but his numbers are absolutely abysmal.

So far in the Primary Election, he has amassed around 41% of the Republican votes cast (around 11,200,000 votes).

The sycophant press has been quick to point out that Trump has gotten more Primary votes than any previous Republican Presidential candidate.

But, there are many real numbers his pals in the press are desperately trying to ignore.

First, of course Trump would get more votes for a couple of reasons:

-          There are more American citizens of voting age than there were 4 years ago; of course he would likely get more votes – so, too, will the 2020 Republican candidate no matter who it is.

-          Also, Trump’s numbers are deceiving.  He benefited from tens of thousands of Democrat votes early on in the “open” Primaries.  These were not Republican voters and they will most likely vote Democrat in the fall.

Second, Trump’s percentage of votes in the Primary is around 41%.  That means almost 6 in 10 Republicans have voted against him.

That number may go up a bit as he finishes the Primary season unopposed, but given the fact that we’ve had two states' Primary Elections now since he’s been unopposed and he’s had 40% and 33% of Republicans respectively still voting against him, he still is likely to finish the Primary contest with less than 50% of the votes.

This doesn’t bode well for the Party’s nominee to have won with less than half the votes.   That means more members of his Party wanted someone else rather than him.

Yes, a good percentage of Republicans will “hold their noses” and vote for Trump, but he will hardly generate huge enthusiasm in a deeply fractured Republican Party; especially since he was the one dynamiting the political fault lines.

Since Republicans are the minority Party in America and many of Trump’s “Trumpacrats” are heading back to returning to their “Hillarycrat” status, don’t look for a huge surge in his direction from the Democrat Party in November to help put him over the top.

No, his numbers have nowhere to go but down.

By the time the national conventions are over, Trump may be praying for Bernie Sanders to run 3^rd party.  It is his only hope to eke out a win vs. the “Clinton Machine.”

Third, 11.2 million votes may sound like a lot (and it may rise to 13 or 14 million by Primary’s end), but given the fact that in the 2012 General Election almost 127 million votes were cast, it is just around a tiny 10% of American voters who have voted for Trump.

How does Trump get five times as many people to vote for him in November to win?

He has done all he can to alienate most of the rest of the Republican electorate.  He has driven away both conservative activists and the moderate financiers he needs to have any kind of shot at competing.

Aside from a few pseudo conservative media outlets, the rest of the national press corps is already beginning to march in Hillary’s lockstep.

Guys like Sean Hannity, Matt Drudge, and Bill O’Reilly couldn’t save the much more personable loser – Mitt Romney in 2012.  How can they be expected to turn a “sow’s ear into a silk purse” with Trump?

Nope.  The numbers just aren’t looking good for “the Donald.”  He may be counted on for network ratings and Twitter rants, but come November, he will be crying foul once again should he lose big time.

The saddest number of all in this equation is 321 million – that’s the number of Americans who will see this nation slide further from greatness given the lousy choices voters have in November.